San Marcos Arica vs Lautaro de Buin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JOA
0 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAU
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
OVA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
DSC
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CSD
1 - 1
SAN
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
LAU
1 - 2
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
LIM
2 - 3
LAU
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LAU
0 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TPA
0 - 3
LAU
5%
11%
85%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
COL
7 - 2
LAU
76%
16%
7%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |