San Marcos Arica vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
23%
28%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
TRA
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ROD
2 - 3
SAN
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 0
CAU
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LAU
2 - 1
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GVE
0 - 1
VAL
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 1
GVE
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
GVE
4 - 1
LAU
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
GVE
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
GVE
1 - 2
SAU
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |