San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Valdivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LIM
1 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
IBE
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
GVE
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
23%
28%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
TRA
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 4
SAU
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JOA
2 - 1
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GVE
0 - 1
VAL
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 3
VAL
29%
24%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |