San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
USF
1 - 0
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CSD
1 - 2
SAN
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
DCO
3 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
DSC
0 - 3
MAG
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 3
DSC
47%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
DSC
2 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
DSC
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DSC
0 - 2
DEP
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |