Copa Chile 1/16
Global 0-4
San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
CHG
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ACC
1 - 2
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
FVC
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LAU
1 - 3
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
IQU
2 - 4
UCH
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
COQ
1 - 1
IQU
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
IQU
1 - 0
ULC
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 1
IQU
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
IQU
0 - 1
CSL
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |