San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
UCO
29%
27%
45%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
COL
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +8 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HUA
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -5 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UCH
2 - 1
IQU
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IQU
3 - 1
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 3
IQU
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +11 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IQU
1 - 2
SWA
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
IQU
1 - 1
ACS
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -10 |