San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSD
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
COB
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
COL
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SWA
3 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
IQU
3 - 0
CSL
55%
23%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
IQU
0 - 1
NUB
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ACS
3 - 1
IQU
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
IQU
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |