San Marcos Arica vs Deportes Copiapó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
ANT
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
OVA
2 - 1
SAN
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
DCO
5 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAN
41%
25%
35%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Copiapó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
DCO
0 - 0
OVA
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
DCO
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
DCO
1 - 2
ANT
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
DCO
5 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
OVA
0 - 0
DCO
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |