San Marcos Arica vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
CSD
3 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
LOT
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CUR
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
COQ
1 - 3
SAN
44%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CON
3 - 3
DCO
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CSD
4 - 0
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
COQ
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 0
CON
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |