San Marcos Arica vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SWA
3 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
ULC
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OHI
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
UNI
17%
23%
61%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 2
EVE
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
COL
3 - 0
EVE
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ACS
3 - 1
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
NUB
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CSD
1 - 0
COL
31%
26%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
COL
3 - 3
ANT
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |