San Marcos Arica vs Cobresal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
COQ
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
USF
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
33%
28%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIM
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CSL
1 - 2
DLS
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ULC
3 - 0
CSL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CSL
3 - 1
OHI
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COQ
2 - 0
CSL
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 1
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |