Copa Chile 1/16
Global 0-1
San Marcos Arica vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 4
SAN
5%
11%
84%
|
62 | 8 | 54 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
USF
0 - 2
SAN
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
SWA
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BAC
0 - 3
COB
5%
12%
83%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COB
0 - 4
OHI
37%
27%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UCO
4 - 1
COB
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COB
2 - 2
IQU
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DCO
4 - 0
COB
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |