Copa Chile Last 16
Global 0-7
San Marcos Arica vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
COB
6 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
IQU
3 - 1
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 1
IQU
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
COQ
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
COB
6 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 2
COB
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
COB
1 - 2
UCO
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SWA
2 - 1
COB
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
COB
3 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |