San Marcos Arica vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSD
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DCO
2 - 0
SAN
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSL
23%
27%
51%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
PUE
3 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 1
SWA
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CSL
3 - 1
DLS
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DLS
1 - 1
DCO
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
COQ
2 - 1
DLS
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
DLS
0 - 1
CSD
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |