San Marcos Arica vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
COQ
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
DCO
0 - 0
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
SAN
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAG
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DLS
3 - 2
MAG
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 3
DLS
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
DLS
0 - 0
USF
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COQ
4 - 0
DLS
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
DLS
0 - 0
DCO
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |