San Marcos Arica vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 2
SAN
50%
26%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
DCO
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
IQU
2 - 2
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
USF
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
UCO
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
5 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
PAL
22%
22%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
LIM
1 - 4
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |