San Marcos Arica vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
IQU
1 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
IQU
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
CSD
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
COQ
1 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
USF
2 - 0
SAN
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ACS
4 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
ACS
15%
19%
66%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
NTA
0 - 6
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BAR
5 - 1
CAU
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DSC
3 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |