San Marcos Arica vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IQU
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
COB
1 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 1
UCO
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
ULC
1 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 0
COB
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
IQU
3 - 3
ANT
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
OHI
2 - 2
ANT
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COB
3 - 1
ANT
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |