Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
San Marcos Arica vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
OHI
3 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SWA
2 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
ULC
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CSL
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 2
SWA
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAL
3 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
ANT
5 - 0
COQ
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CSL
1 - 1
ANT
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |