San Marcial vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 1
SMC
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SMC
1 - 1
CDF
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
PRA
2 - 2
SMC
49%
23%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SMC
2 - 1
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CIU
2 - 2
SMC
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
AGO
31%
27%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALF
0 - 0
CAL
88%
10%
3%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 3
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ANG
0 - 0
CAL
85%
11%
4%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |