San Marcial vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
SMC
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
SMC
20%
23%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SMC
1 - 3
VAR
6%
13%
81%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 0
SMC
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SMC
0 - 0
HAR
7%
17%
76%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
RAP
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 2
NAX
8%
17%
76%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 3
ARN
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ARN
63%
21%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |