San Marcial vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SMC
5 - 0
ALB
59%
20%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CLH
4 - 1
SMC
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SMC
1 - 4
NAX
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
SMC
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SMC
0 - 0
AGO
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 1
ANG
9%
19%
72%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SDL
6 - 0
ARN
89%
9%
3%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 3
HAR
8%
18%
74%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 2
ARN
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 3
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |