San Marcial vs Yagüe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
REB
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AUT
3 - 1
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
AGO
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Yagüe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
YAG
2 - 0
PRM
78%
13%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 2
YAG
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
YAG
2 - 0
CEN
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
REB
1 - 2
YAG
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
YAG
3 - 0
AUT
52%
21%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |