San Marcial vs Sporting Cascajos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ILO
0 - 6
MAR
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAR
50%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TED
3 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
PRA
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CDB
0 - 1
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cascajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 0
ILO
41%
21%
38%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PRM
4 - 2
SPO
53%
20%
27%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
SPO
91%
6%
2%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 4
BAÑ
27%
21%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CDS
3 - 0
SPO
73%
15%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |