San Marcial vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
5 - 1
MAR
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
TED
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
CDB
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 2
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 0
CEN
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ALD
3 - 1
RAP
62%
19%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 1
REB
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
RAP
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 2
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |