San Marcial vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+180%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
ILO
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CDS
3 - 2
MAR
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
AUT
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
REB
2 - 1
MAR
74%
15%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 2
CDS
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
AUT
2 - 2
CFC
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
REB
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TED
2 - 0
CFC
63%
20%
18%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 2
ALB
39%
24%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |