San Marcial vs Berceo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 2
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
ALB
23%
22%
56%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 4
MAR
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
REB
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 0
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Berceo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CDB
0 - 0
CEN
53%
21%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDB
4 - 2
CDS
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDB
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 5
TED
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PRA
3 - 0
CDB
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |