San Marcial vs Aldeano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
0 - 4
MAR
33%
22%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
SPO
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ILO
0 - 6
MAR
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAR
50%
22%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TED
3 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALD
4 - 0
ILO
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PRM
3 - 4
ALD
14%
16%
70%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALD
1 - 1
CAL
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ALD
7 - 1
CDB
65%
17%
18%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RAP
4 - 1
ALD
29%
22%
48%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |