San Marcial vs Aldeano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 3
MAR
26%
23%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
CDA
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ILO
3 - 2
MAR
17%
19%
65%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALB
4 - 1
MAR
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALD
4 - 0
CEN
63%
18%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
ALD
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ILO
1 - 1
ALD
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALD
1 - 3
ALB
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 0
ALD
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |