San Luis de Quillota vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DLS
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
USF
2 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
DCO
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CUR
2 - 1
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
COQ
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NTA
1 - 2
COQ
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
NTA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NTA
2 - 1
CUR
36%
28%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
NTA
69%
20%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NTA
1 - 2
LOT
46%
26%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |