Copa Chile 1/16
Global 1-2
San Luis de Quillota vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
26%
22%
52%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
ULC
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
UNI
4 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
26%
22%
52%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
COQ
2 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
DCO
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
COB
3 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |