San Luis vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TIJ
0 - 0
SNL
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SNL
0 - 0
QRO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATS
2 - 3
SNL
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SNL
2 - 2
ATL
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
JAG
4 - 0
SNL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
TOL
58%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 0
TOL
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |