San Luis vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 0
SNL
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
SNL
2 - 1
QRO
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JAG
3 - 1
SNL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 1
CAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
SNL
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
QRO
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
4 - 3
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |