San Luis vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 0
SNL
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 0
SNL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SNL
0 - 1
PUM
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 2
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
SNL
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
3 - 2
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ONC
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 2
ONC
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
0 - 3
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |