San Luis vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
EST
2 - 3
SNL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SNL
3 - 2
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
JAG
2 - 2
SNL
49%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SNL
0 - 3
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 3
SNL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 0
TIG
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 2
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 1
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
EST
3 - 2
MOR
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |