San Luigi vs Cartigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
66%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BEL
2 - 0
LUI
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LUI
1 - 2
CAM
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CLO
2 - 2
LUI
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
LUI
1 - 3
SAN
15%
18%
68%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CJA
0 - 1
LUI
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACE
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DEL
0 - 2
CAR
39%
23%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 1
VIL
62%
20%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |