San Lorenzo vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 1
SLO
32%
29%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 0
SLO
34%
27%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 2
VEL
55%
24%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 2
SLO
27%
29%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SLO
2 - 1
SAR
66%
21%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 1
PAC
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
5 - 1
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
ATS
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
30%
27%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |