San Lorenzo vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
RAC
1 - 0
SLO
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
SLO
2 - 2
GLP
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
ARG
0 - 1
SLO
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
GIM
0 - 1
SLO
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
SLO
1 - 1
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
QUI
3 - 1
INS
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LAN
2 - 0
QUI
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 1
CEN
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
BOC
3 - 1
QUI
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 1
OLI
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |