San Lorenzo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
COL
3 - 2
SLO
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
SLO
0 - 1
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
SLO
0 - 2
VAS
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 2
SLO
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
SLO
4 - 2
LAN
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
ATM
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 1
PEÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2000 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
SLO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 1
PEÑ
64%
19%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2000 |
PEÑ
4 - 3
VAS
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |