Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
San Lorenzo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
SLO
1 - 2
RIV
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
SLO
55%
27%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
ARM
1 - 3
SLO
36%
30%
34%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
GUA
0 - 1
SLO
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
SLO
0 - 2
RAC
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
SLO
55%
27%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1988 |
ARG
2 - 0
PEÑ
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1988 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
FCP
2 - 1
PEÑ
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |