Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 2-3
San Lorenzo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1960 |
RIV
3 - 0
SLO
51%
21%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1960 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SLO
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
SLO
1 - 1
LAN
71%
16%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
EST
2 - 2
SLO
36%
23%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1960 |
BAH
3 - 2
SLO
41%
22%
36%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1960 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SLO
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
JWI
1 - 1
PEÑ
51%
22%
28%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1960 |
PEÑ
7 - 1
JWI
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |