San Lorenzo vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
GOD
1 - 2
SLO
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
SLO
1 - 0
GLP
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
SLO
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SLO
1 - 0
LAN
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SLO
4 - 3
IND
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 1
BAN
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
0 - 0
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CEN
3 - 0
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BOC
2 - 0
CHI
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
BEL
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |