Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1992 |
SLO
1 - 1
ESP
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1992 |
NOB
4 - 0
SLO
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
FER
1 - 0
SLO
38%
31%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1992 |
VAL
2 - 0
SLO
12%
22%
65%
|
76 | 20 | 56 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
SLO
2 - 3
VEL
43%
29%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1992 |
BOC
1 - 1
NOB
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1992 |
NOB
4 - 0
SLO
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
RIV
0 - 5
NOB
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
NOB
2 - 1
HUR
65%
23%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |