San Lorenzo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2001 |
OLI
0 - 2
SLO
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
SLO
1 - 2
FLA
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
SLO
2 - 1
CAU
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
ARG
0 - 2
SLO
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
SLO
1 - 0
BOC
45%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
OLI
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
FLA
2 - 0
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 3
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
SLO
1 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |