San Lorenzo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SLO
1 - 0
AND
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
TAL
0 - 3
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
CON
3 - 2
SLO
20%
22%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
SLO
3 - 2
IND
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
CEN
0 - 3
SLO
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
JWI
1 - 2
NAC
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
CON
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
SLO
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
CON
0 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 0
JWI
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |