Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 8-1
San Lorenzo vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
SLO
2 - 2
OLI
78%
15%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
MON
0 - 3
SLO
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
GLP
0 - 1
SLO
45%
25%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SLO
1 - 1
LAN
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
SLO
3 - 1
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
EST
2 - 1
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
MON
0 - 3
SLO
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
MON
0 - 1
MIN
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2002 |
MON
3 - 0
TAC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
TAC
1 - 0
MON
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |