San Lorenzo vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
SLO
0 - 1
ARG
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1973 |
BOC
1 - 1
SLO
53%
25%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
MIL
0 - 0
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
SLO
2 - 1
GLP
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1973 |
FER
1 - 3
SLO
42%
27%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
MIL
0 - 0
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1973 |
MIL
1 - 0
IND
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
CAL
0 - 0
MIL
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1973 |
MIL
6 - 2
CAL
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
CAL
1 - 0
MIL
68%
17%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |