San Lorenzo vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
EST
0 - 1
SLO
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SLO
3 - 2
VEL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
RAC
0 - 1
SLO
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
SLO
3 - 1
LAN
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ALM
3 - 1
SLO
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
IND
3 - 0
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
LAN
2 - 4
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
NOB
1 - 1
IND
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2005 |
IND
4 - 2
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |