San Lorenzo vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GLP
3 - 1
SLO
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
ONC
0 - 0
SLO
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SLO
3 - 0
BOC
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
OLI
3 - 0
SLO
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SLO
4 - 1
RAC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
IND
0 - 1
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 2
IND
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
IND
0 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
IND
2 - 0
NOB
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
IND
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |