San Lorenzo vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1997 |
VEL
1 - 1
SLO
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1997 |
SLO
3 - 0
NOB
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1997 |
FER
0 - 0
SLO
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1997 |
SLO
2 - 3
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
CAH
0 - 2
SLO
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1997 |
IND
2 - 0
LAN
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1997 |
COL
0 - 6
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1997 |
IND
2 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1997 |
GIM
1 - 4
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
IND
2 - 1
CEN
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |